SharperGamblerSHARPERGAMBLER BETA
2026 NFL Season Preview
Generated Sun, Aug 2 2026 · 10:22 PM — preseason preview, built on 2025 team strength.
Preseason preview — based on the 2025 season
Every rating and projection on this page is carried forward from 2025. No 2026 games have been played (0 of them), so nothing here reflects 2026 on-field results, 2026 efficiency, or injuries. The schedule and rosters are real and current; the numbers are prior-season. Once 2026 games are played, the live model replaces all of this.
Preseason power ratings — based on 2025
These carry forward prior-year team strength. They do not yet reflect 2026 games (none played) or final rosters. Rating = the model’s team power number (the same team strength that feeds its projected margins). Off / Def / Net = our opponent-adjusted 2025 efficiency vs league average (Def positive = stingier). Rosters and depth charts are current but projected — not final until cutdowns (late Aug).
#
Team
Rating2025
QB2025
Off2025
Def2025
Net2025
1
SEA
+6.76
S.Darnold
+1.4
+3.5
+4.8
2
LA
+6.17
M.Stafford
+4.2
+0.2
+4.4
3
BUF
+4.81
J.Allen
+7.6
+0.3
+7.8
4
NE
+3.97
D.Maye
+2.3
+1.0
+3.3
5
DEN
+3.91
B.Nix
-0.9
+5.6
+4.6
6
GB
+3.67
J.Love
+2.4
-1.2
+1.2
7
JAX
+3.60
T.Lawrence
+1.1
+1.3
+2.5
8
DET
+3.42
J.Goff
+0.6
+1.0
+1.6
9
HOU
+2.95
C.Stroud
-3.4
+6.5
+3.2
10
SF
+2.31
B.Purdy
+5.5
-4.0
+1.4
11
PHI
+2.21
J.Hurts
-1.9
+2.8
+0.8
12
BAL
+1.86
L.Jackson
+3.0
+0.3
+3.3
13
CHI
+1.81
C.Williams
+0.7
-0.3
+0.4
14
CIN
+0.88
J.Burrow
+3.2
-2.7
+0.5
15
DAL
+0.52
D.Prescott
+2.7
-1.9
+0.9
16
KC
+0.33
P.Mahomes
-0.9
+0.2
-0.7
17
LAC
+0.20
J.Herbert
-1.5
+1.8
+0.4
18
IND
+0.17
D.Jones
+0.5
-0.7
-0.2
19
MIN
+0.13
J.McCarthy
-2.2
+2.6
+0.4
20
ATL
-0.65
M.Penix
+0.3
+0.9
+1.2
21
TB
-0.67
B.Mayfield
-1.3
-0.3
-1.6
22
WAS
-0.95
M.Mariota
-0.1
-2.9
-3.0
23
NO
-1.03
T.Shough
-0.4
+1.1
+0.7
24
PIT
-1.23
A.Rodgers
-0.7
-0.9
-1.6
25
MIA
-1.39
T.Tagovailoa
-1.2
-2.4
-3.5
26
NYG
-1.77
J.Dart
-0.9
-0.5
-1.4
27
CAR
-3.13
B.Young
-0.8
-3.3
-4.1
28
ARI
-3.65
J.Brissett
-1.2
-3.5
-4.7
29
CLE
-4.62
S.Sanders
-7.5
+2.0
-5.5
30
NYJ
-5.75
J.Fields
-3.0
-2.8
-5.7
31
LV
-6.41
G.Smith
-3.9
-2.2
-6.1
32
TEN
-6.49
C.Ward
-3.8
-1.3
-5.1
Week 1 projections — based on 2025
Week 1 projections built on 2025 team strength. These will move through the preseason as rosters finalise, and will be replaced by the live model once 2026 games are played. Model-only: no market line is shown — the only 2026 prices posted so far are early futures, which our opener guard does not accept as a true opening line, so there is nothing honest to compare against yet. Win% is the straight-up win probability implied by the projected margin.
Date
Game
Projected2025
Win%
Total2025
Wed Sep 9
NE@SEA
SEA −4.2
62%
44.1
Thu Sep 10
SF@LA
LA −3.3
60%
45.8
Sun Sep 13
ARI@LAC
LAC −5.8
67%
49.0
Sun Sep 13
ATL@PIT
PIT −2.6
58%
43.9
Sun Sep 13
BAL@IND
IND −0.2
51%
43.3
Sun Sep 13
BUF@HOU
HOU −1.8
55%
44.9
Sun Sep 13
CHI@CAR
CHI −1.1
53%
44.1
Sun Sep 13
CLE@JAX
JAX −6.7
69%
43.2
Sun Sep 13
DAL@NYG
NYG −1.7
55%
46.3
Sun Sep 13
GB@MIN
MIN −2.5
58%
41.5
Sun Sep 13
MIA@LV
MIA −0.7
52%
42.7
Sun Sep 13
NO@DET
DET −5.0
65%
44.8
Sun Sep 13
NYJ@TEN
TEN −2.7
58%
44.8
Sun Sep 13
TB@CIN
CIN −2.1
56%
45.1
Sun Sep 13
WAS@PHI
PHI −5.2
65%
45.9
Mon Sep 14
DEN@KC
DEN −1.2
54%
43.0